gratitutde-a-thon day 352: the oscar breakdown according to me

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I’m not sure why I think this is so funny, since it doesn’t have dogs, but it’s cracking me up here on a Sunday morning, during an epic hangover. And even though my head feels as large as the expansive screen that I saw Gravity on, I am in a great mood because it’s FASHION ALERT, the Oscars! I have so much to do to get ready, my hair, makeup, my dress, OHGOSH, I forgot, I’m not actually going. But be sure, I will be watching every red carpet moment from my den, texting my sister. As I said yesterday, I’ve now seen all ten best picture nominees. So, here’s how I wish it were going to go, and how i think it will likely go.

  • Best Picture Nominees
  • American Hustle
  • Dallas Buyers Club
  • Wolf of Wall Street
  • Philomena
  • Her
  • Captain Philips
  • Gravity
  • Nebraska
  • 12 Years a Slave

Will Win:

12 Years a Slave is an important story. It’s beautifully crafted, filmed, and told. Chiwetel Ejiofor is amazing in his performance , as is the new fashion superstar of the world, Lupita Nuong ‘o.  But I know this story. And while I think everybody should know this history, I found it preposterously painful to watch, and in some ways wish I hadn’t watched it. But I think it will win.

Should Win:

What I would choose if I were voting, would be Her. It’s rich, complex, intelligent and oddly believable. Scarlett Johanssen, who is never shown on screen creates an amazingly full bodied character. The futuristic setting is thoroughly realistic, different enough, but not sic-fi wacky. This movie examines what a relationship consists of, what we need and don’t need. It’s inventive and original, and I would love to see it win. I am also in love with Nebraska. A small story simply told. Gorgeous.

Best Actor

  • Christian Bale
  • Bruce Dern
  • Leonardo DiCaprio
  • Chiwetel Ejiofor
  • Matthew McConaughey

Will Win:

Matthew McConaughey has always irritated me. I’ve never thought of him as a heart throb, never considered his movie choices worthy of seeing. But he blew me way, way AWAY in his role in Dallas Buyers Club, and it wasn’t just his insane weight loss, he offered a rich performance with the right amount of swagger and depth. Statue.

Should Win:

I think McConaughey should win, but I loved Christian Bale’s performance in American Hustle. He was wholly convincing as a swarthy con man. Brilliant. And Bruce Dern gave a subtle and nuanced performance in Nebraska that broke my heart. This is a really tough race, but ultimately I think McConaughey will walk away with it, and likely should.

Best Actress

  • Amy Adams
  • Cate Blanchett
  • Sandra Bullock
  • Judi Dench
  • Meryl Street

Will Win:

Amy Adams and Cate Blanchett are going to battle this one out. I had never seen either of them portray someone so thoroughly or convincingly. This was a whole different side of both of these actresses. They both surprised me. I’m not sure who gets the little guy tonight, but the race is between these two.

Should Win:

I was all Amy Adams until I saw Meryl in August: Osage County. People say she was hammy, but I thought she was extraordinary. And Blanchett shocked me in her convincing portrayal. I don’t even know who I’m rooting for, but I actually think it’s the underdog, Meryl.

Best Supporting Actor

  • Barkhad Abdi
  • Bradley Cooper
  • Michael Fassbinder
  • Jonah Hill
  • Jared Leto

Will Win:

Jared Leto as the heart breaking transgender character with Aids in Dallas Buyers Club is just a simply  beautiful performance. His transformation aside, I found his screen time captivating. I think he gets to stroll onto the stage tonight.

Should Win: I think Jared is the right guy for the job.

Best Supporting Actress

  • Sally Hawkins
  • Jennifer Lawrence
  • Lupita Nyong’o
  • Julia Roberts
  • June Squibb

Will Win:

I think that Jennifer Lawrence will walk away with more hardware tonight. I liked her a lot. But at the same time, I didn’t think she was necessarily stellar. She is always an actor who draws you in, but not sure this is deservant of an Oscar, nonetheless, I think tonight will be her night.

Should Win:

I thought June Squibb’s long suffering, sassy senior citizen with the alcoholic husband in Nebraska was really phenomenal. I loved Lupita, but I gotta say, June is it for me.

Best Director

Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Will Win:

I think this race is between Steve McQueen and David O. Russell. I’m not sure who will get it, but I’m pretty sure this is the match up.

Should Win:

I think Her should have been in this category. Also, I loved Nebraska so much. The direction was spot on. I’m sort of confused on this one. I don’t know. It’s an interesting race.

And there you have it. See you tomorrow, when I will have a full fashion re-cap! Off to get ready. Dangnabit, I forgot I’m not going again.

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